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2024-12-14 11:11:45

Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.


Beijing successfully sold the first unlimited land plot since the price limit, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan. On December 12, the R2 second-class residential land of the land development project for shantytown renovation in Wanquansi Village, Fengtai District, Beijing was successfully sold at the reserve price, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan, which is also the first unlimited land plot sold in Beijing since the price limit in 2021. It is worth mentioning that this plot is the third plot with a total price exceeding 10 billion besides the old transformation of Jiuxianqiao in Chaoyang+the shed transformation of Sunheqian Weigou Group+the plot 0017 in Chaoyang Park North District of Zhongguancun, and the plot of Jiuxianqiao+shibalidian+xiaohongmen Group. (CSI Taurus)Tesla's share price has reached a record high after three years, and its market value has increased by 556 billion US dollars in six weeks. Tesla's share price has reached a record high for the first time since November 2021. Investors are optimistic that the company's autonomous driving business will be promoted after President-elect Trump takes office. Tesla shares rose 5.9% to close at $424.77 on Wednesday, and analysts have made positive comments on Tesla's prospects in the past week. Since Trump won the election on November 5, Tesla's share price has soared by 69%, which has greatly increased its market value by more than 556 billion US dollars.SNB: It is estimated that the GDP of Switzerland will be about 1.0% in 2024 (previously predicted to be about 1.0%).


Syrian caretaker Prime Minister said that the current government will manage the transitional period of the country. On the 11th local time, Syrian caretaker Prime Minister Mohamed Bashir said that the current government will manage the transitional period and take over the archives of various ministries and agencies of the Assad government. He mentioned that he had met with the relevant personnel of the former government and made relevant handover, and the "Syrian National Salvation Government" would assume the responsibilities of the existing ministries and commissions.GF Securities maintained the "Buy" rating of Giant Bio with a reasonable value of HK$ 55.72.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.

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